a weekend break with storms returning next week
The stormy pattern will take a break this weekend, but it returns next week.
A ridge of high pressure will nose in and push storm chances away for most of the next few days, save for a low chance late Saturday night as whatever is left of afternoon storms off the dryline in west Texas move our way. It’s likely they’ll be falling apart as they approach, but I can’t rule out a storm or two making the trip. This also means warmer temperatures this weekend, with highs in the low-mid 90’s.
That ridge shifts east by Monday, once again putting us back in a pattern of weak mid-level flow and afternoon convection. That means more storm chances of slow-moving downpours resulting from daytime heating and meandering disturbances. If this conjures up the mental image of blind ducks just waddling aimlessly around a room, that’s pretty spot-on. Just think back to the last several rain events where storms just popped up here and there, and factor in that outflow boundaries can quickly double or triple storm coverage. While severe weather isn’t a great concern, we can still expect some storms may become strong or marginally severe - especially as updrafts spike. Fortunately, that doesn’t usually last too long in these kinds of patterns. Temperatures will be a bit cooler due to increased cloud cover and humidity, topping out in the upper 80’s/low 90’s.

